Metz U19s vs Auxerre Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
23.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
5º
4º
59
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz U19s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MET
1 - 0
TOR
82%
12%
6%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
TRO
1 - 1
MET
38%
24%
38%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MET
5 - 1
LEP
90%
7%
3%
|
35 | 13 | 22 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NAN
0 - 3
MET
52%
23%
26%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MET
2 - 0
STR
71%
17%
13%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Auxerre Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
TRO
2 - 0
AUX
38%
24%
38%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
AUX
2 - 0
NAN
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ASP
1 - 2
AUX
13%
20%
67%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
AUX
3 - 1
PAR
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SOC
0 - 1
AUX
52%
22%
26%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |