Metz II vs Schiltigheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
40.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 0
MET
45%
21%
34%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SAR
3 - 3
MET
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
MET
1 - 0
FOR
52%
22%
25%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
FCS
1 - 1
MET
39%
25%
36%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
MET
3 - 3
LUN
47%
22%
31%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Schiltigheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
SCH
3 - 0
SAR
26%
24%
50%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 3
SCH
36%
25%
39%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SCH
0 - 1
FCS
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
LUN
0 - 5
SCH
48%
22%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SCH
2 - 0
BIE
57%
21%
22%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |