Metz II vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
SOC
4 - 0
MET
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
MET
0 - 0
STR
62%
22%
17%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
NAN
0 - 1
MET
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
MET
1 - 1
FCM
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
MET
1 - 3
BRC
35%
28%
37%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
SPI
2 - 2
VES
42%
27%
32%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
BEL
1 - 1
SPI
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
SPI
2 - 0
RAO
22%
29%
49%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
RCE
2 - 2
SPI
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
SPI
0 - 1
SAI
37%
29%
35%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -2 |