Metz II vs Strasbourg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
38.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
6º
13º
6º
30
3º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
73.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
73.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
26.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
MEZ
4 - 0
MET
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MET
3 - 4
THA
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 1
MET
45%
23%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MET
4 - 0
MET
70%
16%
14%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
OBE
1 - 1
MET
11%
16%
72%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Strasbourg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
STR
3 - 1
BEL
42%
23%
35%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
TRO
1 - 3
STR
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
STR
1 - 1
THL
75%
15%
11%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
NAN
2 - 2
STR
36%
24%
40%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
STR
2 - 2
REI
47%
22%
31%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |