Metz II vs US Fleury-Merogis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
60.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
15º
15º
55
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
91% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
75% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
46% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 42 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
65% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 9% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 91% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MET
0 - 1
SML
38%
27%
35%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BOB
2 - 0
MET
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MET
2 - 2
BEL
49%
25%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
REI
1 - 3
MET
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MET
4 - 3
FCS
39%
26%
35%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
US Fleury-Merogis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FLE
3 - 0
OLY
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
3 - 0
FLE
21%
25%
54%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
FLE
1 - 1
REI
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FLE
4 - 3
ESW
78%
16%
6%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FLE
2 - 2
COL
45%
27%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |