Metz II vs Belfort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SAR
0 - 4
MET
31%
27%
43%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
MET
3 - 2
AMN
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FCM
0 - 0
MET
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
MET
3 - 1
NAN
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
VAL
3 - 1
MET
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Belfort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 1
SOC
31%
26%
43%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 1
BEL
63%
22%
15%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
BEL
2 - 3
JUR
49%
25%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
LYO
2 - 0
BEL
43%
28%
30%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
BEL
0 - 0
RAO
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |