Metropolitanos vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
25.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MET
3 - 0
MIN
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
ZAM
3 - 1
MET
67%
21%
12%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
MET
2 - 1
GVA
71%
19%
10%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
TAC
2 - 1
MET
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ATL
2 - 1
MET
39%
29%
32%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
ARA
0 - 1
CFC
26%
30%
44%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
ARA
0 - 1
LAR
30%
30%
40%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
ARA
1 - 0
COQ
27%
25%
48%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ZAM
1 - 0
ARA
65%
22%
13%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
ARA
1 - 0
TAC
26%
29%
45%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |