Metropolitan Police vs Walton Casuals analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
11.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitan Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
SAL
1 - 3
MET
59%
21%
21%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
HOR
3 - 2
MET
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
MET
1 - 1
HOR
41%
24%
35%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
MET
1 - 2
MER
67%
18%
15%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
BEA
1 - 2
MET
27%
22%
51%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Walton Casuals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
WAL
2 - 1
WES
20%
20%
61%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
KIN
2 - 0
WAL
38%
24%
38%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
WIM
4 - 1
WAL
56%
21%
24%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
WAL
1 - 2
HAR
27%
21%
51%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
WAL
1 - 3
TIV
44%
22%
34%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -2 |