Metropolitan Police vs Kingstonian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitan Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
MET
1 - 0
CRA
44%
24%
33%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
ATK
1 - 2
MET
32%
25%
43%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2006 |
COR
0 - 0
MET
24%
24%
52%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2005 |
WAL
1 - 0
MET
37%
25%
38%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
RAM
4 - 1
MET
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Kingstonian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
NEW
1 - 3
KIN
22%
22%
56%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2006 |
KIN
2 - 2
TOO
28%
24%
48%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
KIN
2 - 1
LEA
29%
25%
46%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +2 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
KIN
3 - 1
WHY
46%
25%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
WAL
0 - 1
KIN
51%
23%
27%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |