Metropolitan Police vs Horsham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitan Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
MET
2 - 0
HAM
40%
26%
35%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 2
MET
36%
24%
41%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
MET
3 - 1
KIN
54%
23%
22%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
WAL
3 - 4
MET
13%
19%
68%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
ABR
2 - 3
MET
12%
16%
73%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
EAS
2 - 3
HOR
23%
23%
54%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
HOR
3 - 1
WOR
16%
20%
64%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
COR
0 - 3
HOR
39%
26%
35%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
HOR
3 - 0
HAR
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
POT
0 - 1
HOR
40%
25%
35%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |