Metropolitan Police vs Cray Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
35.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitan Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
GOS
6 - 3
MET
21%
21%
58%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
MET
2 - 2
WAL
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
POO
2 - 2
MET
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
MET
0 - 2
SWI
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
MET
1 - 0
CHE
41%
26%
33%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
RUS
1 - 1
CRA
10%
15%
75%
|
36 | 11 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
CRA
2 - 0
EAS
93%
5%
2%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
SIT
0 - 2
CRA
34%
25%
42%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
CRA
1 - 1
RUS
90%
7%
3%
|
35 | 11 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
CRA
2 - 0
WHI
91%
7%
3%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |