Metropolitan Police vs Chalfont St Peter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitan Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 0
MET
29%
23%
48%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
LEW
2 - 2
MET
45%
26%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
MET
0 - 2
MAR
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
MET
2 - 0
HAR
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
BOG
2 - 0
MET
26%
25%
50%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Chalfont St Peter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 0
MET
29%
23%
48%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 1
STI
59%
21%
21%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
EGH
2 - 0
CHA
44%
24%
33%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
CHA
5 - 3
TAD
80%
13%
7%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
POT
1 - 1
CHA
49%
23%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |