Metallurg Bekabad vs Navbahor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
44.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
9º
14º
10º
47
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metallurg Bekabad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
NEF
1 - 0
MET
60%
24%
17%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
MET
1 - 1
FKT
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
FKO
1 - 2
MET
52%
26%
21%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
MET
2 - 1
NEF
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
MET
1 - 1
BUN
23%
27%
50%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Navbahor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
QIZ
1 - 2
NAV
31%
29%
40%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
NAV
1 - 0
BUX
59%
26%
15%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
NEF
0 - 0
NAV
45%
28%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
FKO
2 - 1
NAV
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
NAV
2 - 1
FKO
35%
30%
35%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |