Metallurg Lipetsk vs Zenit Penza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metallurg Lipetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2012 |
AVA
2 - 0
MET
60%
23%
17%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
MET
2 - 1
VIT
28%
24%
48%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
SOK
0 - 3
MET
58%
23%
19%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
MET
2 - 2
ZVE
60%
23%
18%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
FKG
2 - 1
MET
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Zenit Penza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2012 |
ZEN
0 - 1
POD
39%
26%
36%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
SAL
1 - 0
ZEN
79%
15%
6%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
ZEN
1 - 2
ORE
36%
26%
38%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
KAL
1 - 1
ZEN
62%
22%
16%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
ZEN
0 - 0
SPA
38%
27%
36%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |