Metalac GM vs Zemun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metalac GM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
MET
0 - 1
CRV
10%
17%
73%
|
66 | 89 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
NPA
1 - 0
MET
28%
27%
45%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
BAK
3 - 1
MET
34%
27%
40%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
RAD
1 - 1
MET
20%
26%
55%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
MET
2 - 0
FKZ
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Zemun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
KOL
1 - 1
ZEM
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
BOR
1 - 0
ZEM
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
ZEM
1 - 2
LOZ
63%
23%
14%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
ZEM
3 - 2
DVR
47%
28%
25%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
ZEM
0 - 1
ZAR
36%
28%
35%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |