ACR Messina vs US Vibonese Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
NUO
1 - 0
MES
63%
23%
15%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
MES
0 - 3
LEC
18%
23%
59%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
ASM
3 - 0
MES
43%
27%
31%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MES
1 - 1
FON
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
TAR
1 - 0
MES
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
US Vibonese Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
USV
0 - 2
TAR
29%
27%
45%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
FCC
2 - 0
USV
51%
27%
23%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
USV
0 - 0
PAG
30%
28%
42%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CAT
1 - 0
USV
80%
14%
6%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
USV
1 - 1
ASM
39%
29%
33%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |