ACR Messina vs Udinese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
40.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
ROM
2 - 1
MES
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
MES
2 - 1
LEC
48%
25%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
MES
0 - 1
PAR
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
ASC
1 - 0
MES
42%
28%
31%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
MES
2 - 2
JUV
12%
22%
66%
|
77 | 94 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
INT
1 - 0
UDI
72%
18%
10%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
UDI
0 - 4
ACM
18%
25%
57%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2006 |
LSO
2 - 1
UDI
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
PAL
2 - 0
UDI
44%
25%
32%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2006 |
UDI
0 - 0
LSO
61%
23%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |