ACR Messina vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
TUR
2 - 2
MES
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
MES
4 - 0
HYR
81%
14%
6%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
NOT
1 - 1
MES
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
MES
0 - 1
FOR
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
VAL
4 - 0
MES
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
SPC
32%
25%
43%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
EBO
1 - 0
MAR
68%
19%
13%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
CAS
22%
24%
54%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
GSM
3 - 4
MAR
42%
25%
33%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
FCR
50%
24%
26%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |