ACR Messina vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
61%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
JUS
2 - 1
MES
68%
20%
13%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MES
1 - 1
FCC
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
CAT
2 - 1
MES
80%
15%
5%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MES
1 - 0
ASM
54%
25%
21%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MES
3 - 2
USF
19%
24%
58%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LEC
0 - 0
AKR
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
LEC
1 - 2
MAT
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
NUO
3 - 4
LEC
21%
27%
53%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
LEC
4 - 0
FCC
71%
20%
10%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MON
0 - 1
LEC
14%
23%
63%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | +1 |