ACR Messina vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
26%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
MES
1 - 2
SSS
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
USA
4 - 2
MES
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
USF
2 - 1
MES
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1961 |
MES
3 - 0
PAL
43%
28%
30%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
FCC
0 - 0
MES
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
FCC
4 - 1
GEN
51%
25%
25%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
GEN
0 - 1
REG
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
NOV
0 - 4
GEN
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1961 |
GEN
5 - 0
SSS
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
MAN
3 - 0
GEN
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |