ACR Messina vs Castrovillari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
24.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
MES
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
MES
0 - 0
ROC
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
NOC
0 - 1
MES
64%
21%
15%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MES
2 - 2
ASD
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
PAL
3 - 0
MES
50%
25%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
GEL
0 - 1
USC
54%
21%
25%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
USC
1 - 0
FCI
49%
23%
28%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
USC
1 - 1
ACI
46%
23%
32%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
LOC
1 - 2
USC
38%
22%
40%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
USC
1 - 4
MAR
44%
24%
33%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -2 |