ACR Messina vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
46.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1989 |
MES
2 - 0
TOR
25%
30%
45%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1989 |
PAR
2 - 2
MES
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1989 |
MES
1 - 0
COM
47%
30%
23%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
PAD
1 - 0
MES
41%
29%
30%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1989 |
MES
0 - 0
SSB
61%
23%
15%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1989 |
ATL
0 - 0
FIO
44%
29%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1989 |
GEN
2 - 2
ATL
35%
30%
35%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1989 |
ATL
1 - 0
UDI
63%
23%
14%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
NAP
3 - 1
ATL
77%
16%
7%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1989 |
ATL
2 - 1
INT
21%
28%
51%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |