ACR Messina vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
FON
1 - 1
MES
57%
23%
21%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
MES
1 - 1
AKR
47%
26%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
FIA
0 - 1
MES
57%
24%
18%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
MAT
5 - 1
MES
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MES
3 - 1
TAR
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
ASM
55%
24%
22%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
ASM
0 - 1
USV
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
REG
2 - 1
ASM
50%
26%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ASM
0 - 0
AKR
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
FRA
0 - 1
ASM
69%
19%
12%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +1 |