ACR Messina vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
17.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
VIC
1 - 0
MES
61%
20%
20%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
SAL
0 - 3
MES
56%
21%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
MES
1 - 0
VNZ
62%
19%
19%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
MES
0 - 0
PIS
68%
17%
15%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
FAN
1 - 0
MES
63%
18%
19%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
BAR
3 - 1
LIV
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
FAN
1 - 1
BAR
66%
17%
17%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
BAR
0 - 0
SPA
26%
23%
51%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
ANC
2 - 2
BAR
48%
23%
30%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
BAR
3 - 2
TRE
47%
24%
29%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |