ACR Messina vs Acireale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
MES
2 - 0
CAM
39%
27%
35%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
JUS
1 - 0
MES
68%
20%
13%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
MES
0 - 0
USV
43%
27%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
RPO
2 - 3
MES
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MES
1 - 3
MON
35%
27%
38%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ACI
2 - 2
BIA
72%
17%
12%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
ASD
0 - 2
ACI
22%
24%
54%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
ACI
2 - 0
GIA
76%
15%
9%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 2
ACI
19%
22%
59%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ACI
3 - 2
SMC
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |