ACR Messina vs ACRD Acicatena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
7.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
SPC
5 - 0
MES
20%
26%
55%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
MES
2 - 1
VIC
74%
17%
9%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
TUR
0 - 0
MES
20%
25%
55%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
MES
0 - 2
COM
77%
16%
7%
|
63 | 29 | 34 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
ASD
0 - 1
MES
19%
25%
56%
|
63 | 36 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
ACRD Acicatena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ACA
0 - 0
SPC
27%
24%
48%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
VIC
1 - 0
ACA
63%
21%
17%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
ACA
2 - 2
TUR
30%
25%
45%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
COM
0 - 1
ACA
51%
24%
26%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
ACA
0 - 0
ASD
32%
25%
43%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |