Messancy vs Sartoise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
39.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
9º
7º
48
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
5º
|
79.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
79.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Messancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
OPP
4 - 3
MES
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MES
1 - 0
RUS
41%
22%
38%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
RES
1 - 1
MES
64%
19%
17%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
JEU
2 - 3
MES
66%
19%
15%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MES
3 - 1
GOU
18%
18%
64%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Sartoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SAR
3 - 1
JEU
46%
23%
31%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
GOU
3 - 0
SAR
42%
24%
33%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SAR
2 - 2
VAU
42%
23%
35%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 2
SAR
28%
23%
48%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SAR
3 - 0
LAR
53%
22%
26%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |