Messancy vs Ethe Belmont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
63.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
-59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Messancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
LON
6 - 1
MES
79%
14%
7%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MES
0 - 5
BOM
24%
21%
55%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ROS
0 - 2
MES
47%
23%
30%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
MEI
1 - 2
MES
69%
18%
14%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
MES
1 - 1
LIB
23%
22%
54%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Ethe Belmont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
EBE
4 - 1
CHA
72%
16%
12%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ROS
2 - 2
EBE
16%
20%
65%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
VAU
0 - 1
EBE
17%
20%
64%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
LAR
0 - 0
EBE
30%
23%
48%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
EBE
4 - 1
GOU
81%
13%
7%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |