Mesia CD vs X Aranga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
27.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-88%
+324%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mesia CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
ORD
3 - 2
MES
58%
19%
23%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
MES
3 - 1
VCF
55%
20%
25%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
VOR
2 - 1
MES
29%
22%
49%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MES
5 - 1
MER
61%
19%
20%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
SXU
3 - 3
MES
36%
22%
42%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
X Aranga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ARA
0 - 2
SXU
60%
19%
21%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
XCC
5 - 3
ARA
77%
14%
10%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ARA
0 - 2
CUR
35%
21%
45%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ABE
0 - 1
ARA
23%
20%
57%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ARA
4 - 1
SPO
44%
22%
35%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |