Mes Sarcheshme vs Fajr Sepasi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
31.8%
Draw
0-0
15.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.8%
42%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mes Sarcheshme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
DAM
2 - 1
MES
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
MES
1 - 3
EST
22%
29%
49%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
MES
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
MES
1 - 2
NAT
26%
31%
43%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
SHA
1 - 1
MES
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fajr Sepasi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
FAJ
2 - 0
MAL
43%
30%
27%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
TRA
0 - 0
FAJ
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
FAJ
1 - 0
SHA
46%
28%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
SAI
5 - 0
FAJ
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
FAJ
2 - 1
FOO
36%
29%
35%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |