Mes Rafsanjan vs Esteghlal Tehran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
33.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mes Rafsanjan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
MES
2 - 0
AAK
47%
30%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 0
MES
41%
30%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
MES
0 - 3
SAQ
54%
26%
20%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
MES
1 - 1
NAS
58%
26%
17%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
SPF
0 - 0
MES
27%
30%
43%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Esteghlal Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
EKU
70%
20%
10%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
SEP
1 - 0
EST
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
MAL
74%
19%
8%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 3
EST
27%
28%
46%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
EST
1 - 2
PER
46%
25%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |