Merw vs Köpetdag Aşgabat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
48.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
MER
1 - 1
BFT
44%
24%
32%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
MER
1 - 2
AGA
22%
26%
53%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
AHA
3 - 1
MER
79%
15%
6%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
AGA
0 - 0
MER
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
MER
0 - 1
AHA
12%
21%
67%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Köpetdag Aşgabat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
KAS
1 - 1
AGA
34%
28%
38%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
AHA
1 - 2
KAS
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
KAS
0 - 3
ALT
13%
21%
66%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
BFT
1 - 3
KAS
30%
27%
43%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
KAS
0 - 1
AGA
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |