Merw vs Nebitçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
31.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
MER
0 - 1
ALT
14%
21%
65%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
AGA
0 - 0
MER
55%
25%
21%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
MER
2 - 5
AHA
25%
25%
50%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
KAS
2 - 0
MER
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
EFT
0 - 0
MER
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Nebitçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
BFT
1 - 4
EFT
45%
26%
30%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
AGA
1 - 2
BFT
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
ALT
3 - 2
BFT
79%
14%
7%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
BFT
2 - 1
KAS
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
AGA
2 - 1
BFT
53%
25%
22%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |