Merw vs Ahal FT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-77%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2013 |
HTT
1 - 1
MER
54%
24%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2013 |
DAO
0 - 0
MER
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
BAG
1 - 2
MER
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
NIS
1 - 2
MER
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2013 |
MER
1 - 0
TAL
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ahal FT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2013 |
AHA
2 - 0
BAL
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2013 |
BAG
2 - 2
AHA
44%
26%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
AHA
1 - 3
NIS
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
TAL
1 - 1
AHA
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
ALT
3 - 1
AHA
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |