Merw vs Şagadam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
46%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
AHA
3 - 1
MER
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
AGA
0 - 0
MER
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
MER
0 - 1
AHA
33%
25%
43%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
EFT
0 - 2
MER
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
MER
1 - 3
ALT
28%
23%
49%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Şagadam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
AGA
4 - 0
AHA
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
ALT
4 - 1
AGA
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
AGA
4 - 0
BFT
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
AGA
1 - 0
AGA
32%
26%
42%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
EFT
0 - 4
AGA
28%
25%
48%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |