Mervue United vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
64.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mervue United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2010 |
WAT
3 - 0
MER
77%
16%
8%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2010 |
SFI
1 - 1
MER
83%
12%
5%
|
35 | 73 | 38 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
WEX
3 - 2
MER
65%
21%
14%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
MER
1 - 0
ATH
47%
25%
29%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2010 |
LIM
2 - 0
MER
78%
15%
8%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2010 |
BRW
3 - 2
DER
28%
25%
48%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2010 |
DER
0 - 0
LON
77%
16%
6%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2010 |
ATH
1 - 3
DER
12%
23%
65%
|
70 | 40 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2010 |
DER
1 - 1
BRW
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2010 |
DER
1 - 2
SHR
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |