Umaglesi Liga Relegation Round Round 4

Mertskhali vs Lazika analysis

Mertskhali Lazika
48 ELO 53
-0.4% Tilt 15.5%
4083º General ELO ranking 24877º
27º Country ELO ranking 71º
ELO win probability
40.4%
Mertskhali
26%
Draw
33.6%
Lazika

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
Mertskhali
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
33.6%
Win probability
Lazika
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Mertskhali
Lazika
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mertskhali
Mertskhali
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Apr. 2004
DBA
Dinamo Batumi
2 - 1
Mertskhali
MER
56%
24%
20%
49 63 14 0
26 Mar. 2004
MER
Mertskhali
0 - 0
Kolkheti Poti
KOL
38%
27%
34%
49 58 9 0
18 Mar. 2004
FTK
Torpedo Kutaisi
1 - 0
Mertskhali
MER
78%
15%
8%
49 74 25 0
07 Dec. 2003
LAZ
Lazika
2 - 0
Mertskhali
MER
48%
24%
28%
50 51 1 -1
03 Dec. 2003
MER
Mertskhali
1 - 2
Locomotive Tbilisi
LOK
19%
25%
55%
51 76 25 -1

Matches

Lazika
Lazika
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Apr. 2004
KOL
Kolkheti Poti
0 - 0
Lazika
LAZ
59%
22%
19%
51 57 6 0
26 Mar. 2004
LAZ
Lazika
0 - 1
FK Mtskheta
FKM
46%
25%
30%
52 55 3 -1
07 Dec. 2003
LAZ
Lazika
2 - 0
Mertskhali
MER
48%
24%
28%
51 50 1 +1
03 Dec. 2003
DBA
Dinamo Batumi
2 - 1
Lazika
LAZ
62%
22%
16%
52 63 11 -1
26 Nov. 2003
LAZ
Lazika
0 - 2
Locomotive Tbilisi
LOK
22%
26%
52%
52 76 24 0