Merthyr Tydfil FC vs Gloucester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merthyr Tydfil FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2006 |
MER
1 - 1
TIV
41%
25%
33%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
YAT
3 - 2
MER
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
BAN
4 - 2
MER
43%
24%
33%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
MER
0 - 1
KIN
45%
25%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2006 |
MER
0 - 0
BAT
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gloucester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
GLO
1 - 1
EVE
42%
25%
33%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
GLO
0 - 2
BAT
28%
25%
47%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
GRA
2 - 1
GLO
64%
21%
16%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
GLO
4 - 5
TIV
31%
25%
43%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
GLO
1 - 2
SAL
23%
23%
54%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |