Merthyr Town vs Redditch United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
MER
1 - 0
BAN
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2017 |
MER
1 - 1
KIN
67%
19%
15%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
KET
2 - 3
MER
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
CIR
0 - 2
MER
21%
22%
57%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
MER
2 - 0
CIN
85%
10%
4%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Redditch United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
DUN
1 - 0
RED
38%
24%
38%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
RED
0 - 2
BIG
47%
24%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
FRO
8 - 1
RED
49%
26%
25%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -3 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
RED
1 - 1
KIN
37%
25%
38%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
RED
0 - 0
BAN
35%
25%
40%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |