Merthyr Town vs Gosport Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
8.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
MER
2 - 2
SWI
49%
22%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
CHE
0 - 3
MER
77%
14%
9%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +2 |
| 16 Jul. 2018 |
MER
1 - 3
CAR
15%
19%
66%
|
29 | 54 | 25 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
MER
2 - 2
RED
50%
23%
27%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
BIS
4 - 0
MER
48%
22%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Gosport Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
HAR
1 - 0
GOS
82%
12%
7%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
GOS
3 - 2
KIN
29%
23%
48%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
STN
0 - 4
GOS
90%
7%
3%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2018 |
DUN
0 - 2
GOS
44%
23%
33%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
GOS
7 - 0
FRO
10%
16%
74%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | +5 |