Merthyr Town vs Farnborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
30%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
MER
2 - 2
HAR
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
SWI
2 - 2
MER
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
MER
2 - 1
YAT
58%
20%
22%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
MER
0 - 2
WAL
61%
19%
20%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
HEN
2 - 1
MER
33%
24%
44%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
FAR
2 - 1
WAL
71%
16%
13%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
POO
3 - 1
FAR
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
FAR
0 - 1
HAY
26%
22%
52%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
WES
1 - 3
FAR
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
FAR
3 - 1
DOR
64%
18%
18%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |