Merstham vs Redhill analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
9.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
HOR
2 - 1
MER
31%
24%
45%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
WHI
1 - 1
MER
32%
25%
43%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
MER
0 - 2
FAV
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
MER
6 - 0
THR
73%
15%
12%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
TOO
1 - 1
MER
25%
23%
52%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Redhill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
RED
2 - 3
WHI
34%
23%
43%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
RED
3 - 1
HAS
30%
24%
46%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
RAM
1 - 0
RED
72%
16%
12%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
BUR
3 - 3
RED
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
RED
1 - 1
EAS
83%
12%
6%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | -1 |