Merstham vs Redhill analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
15.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
RAM
1 - 1
MER
66%
19%
15%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
WAL
0 - 0
MER
57%
21%
22%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
MER
3 - 1
TOO
42%
23%
35%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
FAV
1 - 2
MER
64%
20%
16%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
MER
3 - 3
GUE
39%
23%
38%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Redhill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
RED
4 - 4
TOW
39%
23%
38%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
CRA
2 - 1
RED
56%
21%
23%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
RED
3 - 1
WOR
24%
22%
54%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +3 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
HER
0 - 3
RED
66%
19%
15%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
RED
57%
21%
22%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |