Merstham vs Lewes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
47.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
CHE
0 - 1
MER
70%
18%
12%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
BAL
0 - 2
MER
47%
22%
31%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
MER
0 - 2
FOL
11%
17%
72%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
HOR
3 - 0
MER
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
MER
1 - 0
POT
18%
21%
61%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
LEW
4 - 1
ENF
18%
21%
61%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
LEW
1 - 2
MET
22%
23%
55%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
LEW
0 - 0
HOR
31%
24%
45%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
POT
1 - 3
LEW
60%
21%
19%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
LEW
2 - 2
CHE
22%
21%
57%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |