Merstham vs Folkestone Invicta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
46.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
MER
3 - 2
RED
66%
18%
16%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
RAM
1 - 1
MER
66%
19%
15%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
WAL
0 - 0
MER
57%
21%
22%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
MER
3 - 1
TOO
42%
23%
35%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
FAV
1 - 2
MER
64%
20%
16%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Folkestone Invicta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
HYT
2 - 3
FOL
29%
25%
46%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
FOL
8 - 0
CRA
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
SIT
0 - 3
FOL
32%
25%
43%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2013 |
FOL
4 - 2
THR
74%
16%
10%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
CHI
4 - 2
FOL
17%
22%
61%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -2 |