Merstham vs Cray Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
45.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
MER
1 - 4
LEA
43%
23%
34%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
MER
1 - 3
WOR
42%
23%
35%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
ENF
2 - 0
MER
62%
20%
18%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
WIN
0 - 4
MER
34%
24%
42%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
WHY
1 - 0
MER
31%
24%
44%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Cray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
CRA
3 - 5
ENF
54%
22%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
HAR
1 - 0
CRA
37%
26%
38%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2019 |
CRA
3 - 1
BOW
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
CRA
1 - 1
EAS
53%
21%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
CRA
5 - 2
SOH
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |