Merstham vs Carshalton Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
39%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
WIN
2 - 0
MER
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
CRA
3 - 3
MER
44%
21%
35%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
MER
0 - 0
CRA
44%
21%
35%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
MER
3 - 1
POT
25%
23%
53%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +4 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
DOR
2 - 2
MER
70%
17%
14%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Carshalton Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
BIS
3 - 1
CAR
28%
23%
49%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
BOG
62%
19%
19%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
HOR
1 - 1
CAR
47%
26%
27%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 1
LEA
42%
23%
36%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
HOR
76%
15%
10%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | -1 |