Mersin vs Bucaspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mersin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2006 |
MER
3 - 2
IZM
53%
24%
24%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
MUL
3 - 3
MER
29%
27%
43%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
MER
0 - 1
MAR
54%
26%
21%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2006 |
MER
2 - 2
TAR
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
NAZ
0 - 2
MER
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bucaspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2006 |
BUC
2 - 0
MUL
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
TAR
3 - 0
BUC
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
BUC
1 - 2
ALA
41%
27%
32%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2006 |
FET
0 - 1
BUC
28%
27%
45%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
BUC
1 - 1
IZM
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |