De Merino.s vs SVL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
16.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Merino.s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
CSW
2 - 2
DEM
35%
24%
42%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
VVZ
1 - 2
DEM
60%
20%
19%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
SWI
1 - 0
DEM
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
DEM
2 - 0
HBO
49%
23%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
LEL
0 - 2
DEM
36%
24%
40%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
SVL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
SVL
1 - 3
VVZ
27%
23%
50%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
SVL
2 - 2
HBO
46%
23%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
LEL
0 - 0
SVL
42%
24%
35%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
SVL
0 - 0
EEM
34%
24%
42%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
4 - 1
SVL
34%
23%
42%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |