Venados FC vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
ALE
1 - 0
MER
59%
24%
18%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
MER
2 - 2
LEO
18%
22%
61%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
MER
2 - 0
CAÑ
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
UDG
2 - 1
MER
46%
28%
26%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
MER
2 - 2
CAF
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
TOR
0 - 1
CAÑ
46%
27%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
TOR
1 - 0
AUR
43%
24%
33%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CAF
3 - 2
TOR
50%
26%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
TOR
2 - 1
MUR
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
CIM
1 - 0
TOR
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |